I am a historian, not a tea-leaf reader. But every now and then the two occupations experience a harmonic convergence. This coming year, a randomly selected group of Americans will stand in emotionally numbed silence, listening to “Taps” being played at a military funeral. They will be mourning the loss of a family member or friend killed in Afghanistan or Iraq. The White House will launch yet another Arab-Israeli peace initiative. These talks will try to shield the Jewish State from its soon-to-be Arab majority. This diplomatic effort will collapse just as past attempts to remake reality in this troubled region have. The nuclear threat posed to Israel by an unstable Pakistan’s already existing nuclear arsenal will steal global attention from Iran’s pretensions to build one. Oops. I’m rambling off topic. The afore-mentioned list is not prophecies, but near certainties. Actually, my New Year’s prediction for the Middle East is this.